| Mr President please accept my most cordial salutations. In these difficult times there are three issues that need to be addressed: a) the minimisation of loss of civilian life and the mass dispersal of our people, b) the avoidance of military defeat, and c) the acceptance of an imposed peace. Let us now discuss these points in the order of their presentation: a. The Eritrean government declared openly its orderly withdrawal for confidence building purposes. The unilateral withdrawal by the Eritrean High Command was interpreted as a military defeat and increased the Ethiopian army’s appetite to annihilate the Eritrean army. As long as the war is conducted in Eritrea, the Eritrean people will remain at the brunt of this war until one of the two armies emerges victorious on the ground or at the negotiating table. What has to be considered by the government is whether succumbing to pressures to accept new concessions in the name of saving civilian life is a valid argument at this late stage. b. The military objective of Ethiopia is nothing short of defeating, and if possible, annihilating the Eritrean army so that it does not pose a renewed threat To Whom It May Concern. Mr. President only you are in a position to gauge both possibilities. As known to you, the war of fixed trenches has been transformed into a fluid war, in a limited space, of heavily populated civilian areas. Under such circumstances, a protracted war between two massive armies is unthinkable. Government spokesmen have announced that the army shall vanish into the liberated areas of old, in order to avoid defeat and minimise civilian casualty, and in order to exhibit to world opinion that a sovereign state has been occupied. This action, government spokesmen point out, shall lay the basis for a new liberation struggle. If this choice is made then the demobilisation of the Sawa generation (in order to preserve life and travel light) is a decision item you would have to consider. Another preoccupation is that the Eritrean army is conducting a holding operation until the negotiations start. c. Ethiopia has already announced that it intends to claim the right of defining what constitutes the colonial boundary. There might be even pressures to concede some unthinkables. Considering that Eritrean sovereignty and territorial integrity was legitimised by an UN administered referendum, and taking into account the fact that your government does not yet have the blessing of the Eritrean Constitution, are you in a position to accept an imposed peace? HERUI T. BAIRU STOCKHOLM/00-05-29 Copyright © 2020 Eritrean Congress Party Strategy Adi. All Rights Reserved. |
| Mr President please accept my most cordial salutations. In these difficult times there are three issues that need to be addressed: a) the minimisation of loss of civilian life and the mass dispersal of our people, b) the avoidance of military defeat, and c) the acceptance of an imposed peace. Let us now discuss these points in the order of their presentation: a. The Eritrean government declared openly its orderly withdrawal for confidence building purposes. The unilateral withdrawal by the Eritrean High Command was interpreted as a military defeat and increased the Ethiopian army’s appetite to annihilate the Eritrean army. As long as the war is conducted in Eritrea, the Eritrean people will remain at the brunt of this war until one of the two armies emerges victorious on the ground or at the negotiating table. What has to be considered by the government is whether succumbing to pressures to accept new concessions in the name of saving civilian life is a valid argument at this late stage. b. The military objective of Ethiopia is nothing short of defeating, and if possible, annihilating the Eritrean army so that it does not pose a renewed threat To Whom It May Concern. Mr. President only you are in a position to gauge both possibilities. As known to you, the war of fixed trenches has been transformed into a fluid war, in a limited space, of heavily populated civilian areas. Under such circumstances, a protracted war between two massive armies is unthinkable. Government spokesmen have announced that the army shall vanish into the liberated areas of old, in order to avoid defeat and minimise civilian casualty, and in order to exhibit to world opinion that a sovereign state has been occupied. This action, government spokesmen point out, shall lay the basis for a new liberation struggle. If this choice is made then the demobilisation of the Sawa generation (in order to preserve life and travel light) is a decision item you would have to consider. Another preoccupation is that the Eritrean army is conducting a holding operation until the negotiations start. c. Ethiopia has already announced that it intends to claim the right of defining what constitutes the colonial boundary. There might be even pressures to concede some unthinkables. Considering that Eritrean sovereignty and territorial integrity was legitimised by an UN administered referendum, and taking into account the fact that your government does not yet have the blessing of the Eritrean Constitution, are you in a position to accept an imposed peace? HERUI T. BAIRU STOCKHOLM/00-05-29 Copyright © 2020 Eritrean Congress Party Strategy Adi. All Rights Reserved. |